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Brotas, Luisa and Nicol, Fergus (2015) Adaptive comfort model and overheating in Europe re-thinking the future. In: PLEA 2015 – 31st International PLEA Conference: Architecture in (R)evolution, 9-11 September 2015, Bologna (Italy).
The awareness of climate change and the increasingly urgent need to reduce carbon emissions in buildings and cities is growing in parallel with concerns with the comfort of occupants due to the rising temperatures. Passive strategies for heating and cooling are first line of defence to the effects of climate change (Nicol, 2012; Roaf, 2015). Recent comfort theories have acknowledged the interaction between people and their surrounding environment. Regulations, Standards and Guidelines are good references to access and quantify the impact of changes in buildings. In Europe, EN 15251 (BSI, 2007) has suggested the methodology to look at thermal comfort in naturally ventilated buildings using the Adaptive Comfort approach. More recently CIBSE Technical Memorandum (TM) 52 (2013) has provided the criteria to look at overheating in buildings. While more real data is still needed to validate these models, recent developments in dynamic building simulation software give an opportunity to test future scenarios. This paper looks at the criteria from TM 52 and tests them on a typical archetype located in a set of cities in Europe. Because the climate is changing predictions of the energy performance and thermal comfort are assessed for morphed climates for the year 2020, 2050 and 2080. This has a major impact in the environmental, economic and social interaction of people and buildings. It will also contribute towards an assessment of the tools already available while re-thinking the way we will tackle climate change in the future.
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