Generalized structural time series model

Djennad, Abdelmadjid (2014) Generalized structural time series model. Doctoral thesis, London Metropolitan University.

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Abstract / Description

A new class of univariate time series models is developed, the Generalized Structural (GEST) time series model. The GEST model extends Gaussian structural time series models by allowing the distribution of the dependent variable to come from any parametric distribution, including highly skew and=or kurtotic distributions. Furthermore, the GEST model expands the systematic part of time series models to allow the explicit modelling of any or all of the distribution parameters as structural terms and (smoothed) functions of independent variables. The proposed GEST model primarily addresses the difficulty in modelling time-varying skewness and kurtosis (beyond location and dispersion time series models). The originality of the thesis starts from Chapter 6 and in particular Chapter 7 and Chapter 8, with applications of the GEST model in Chapter 9. Chapters 2 and 3 contain the literature review of non-Gaussian time series models, Chapter 4 is a reproduction of Chapter 17 in Pawitan (2001), which contains an alternative method for estimating the hyperparameters instead of using the Kalman filter, and Chapter 5 is an application of Chapter 4 to smoothing Gaussian structural time series models.

Item Type:	Thesis (Doctoral)
Additional Information:	uk.bl.ethos.639422
Uncontrolled Keywords:	time series models; Generalized Structural time series model; GEST time series model; Gaussian structural time series models
Subjects:	500 Natural Sciences and Mathematics > 510 Mathematics
Department:	School of Computing and Digital Media
Depositing User:	Mary Burslem
Date Deposited:	25 Feb 2016 15:49
Last Modified:	09 Apr 2022 11:14
URI:	https://repository.londonmet.ac.uk/id/eprint/672

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